Tennis · ATP Estoril · 18/07, 14:30
Prediction: Pedro Martinez vs David Jorda Sanchis
Prediction summary
Winner
Pedro Martinez
David Jorda Sanchis
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Martinez
5-5 (W-L)
David Jorda Sanchis
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pedro Martinez
1–1
David Jorda Sanchis
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pedro Martinez 1450 · David Jorda Sanchis 1549
| Pedro Martinez | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours David Jorda Sanchis (rating 1450 vs 1549).
- David Jorda Sanchis is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pedro Martinez | David Jorda Sanchis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12.2 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 32.8% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Pedro Martinez 1 – 1 David Jorda Sanchis (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pedro Martinez 1–1 David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/17 ITF Spain F4 | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07/16 ITF Spain F22 | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pedro Martinez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/07 | S D Prajwal Dev Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/06 | Otto Virtanen Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 11/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Henri Squire Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 01/06 | Frederico Ferreira Silva Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Emilio Nava French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
David Jorda Sanchis
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Max Houkes Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 30/06 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/06 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 12/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 11/06 | Miguel Damas Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Benjamin Winter Lopez Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pedro Martinez vs David Jorda Sanchis?
Our model gives 52% to Pedro Martinez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.