Tennis · ATP Estoril · 18/07, 13:00
Prediction: Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Prediction summary
Winner
Taro Daniel
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taro Daniel
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taro Daniel 1575 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1513
| Taro Daniel | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taro Daniel (rating 1575 vs 1513).
- Taro Daniel is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Taro Daniel | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-8.8 | 11.7-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 6.2 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taro Daniel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Carlos Sanchez Jover ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Federico Coria ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/07 | Valentin Royer Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/07 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/06 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 13/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Emilio Nava Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/07 | Marc Majdandzic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Martin Landaluce French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 22-28 | L |
| 21/05 | Coleman Wong French Open · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Daniil Glinka French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taro Daniel vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?
Our model gives 59% to Taro Daniel, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.