Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 18/07, 11:30
Prediction: Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalski
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Cina
Daniel Michalski
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Cina
4-6 (W-L)
Daniel Michalski
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Cina
0–1
Daniel Michalski
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Cina 1499 · Daniel Michalski 1447
| Federico Cina | Daniel Michalski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Federico Cina (rating 1499 vs 1447).
- Head-to-head: Federico Cina 0–1 Daniel Michalski (1).
Statistics
| Federico Cina | Daniel Michalski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-10.9 | 10.3-11 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 67.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Federico Cina 0 – 1 Daniel Michalski (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Cina 0–1 Daniel Michalski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/26 Challenger Phan Thiet | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Cina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Patrick Zahraj ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Daniel Michalski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Andrej Martin Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 01/06 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Andrew Paulson Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Cina vs Daniel Michalski?
Our model gives 67% to Federico Cina, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.