Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
26.6
Recent form · 10 last
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
5-5 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomas Martin Etcheverry 1448 · Ignacio Buse 1496
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ignacio Buse (rating 1448 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 20% (5) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-14.8 | 12.9-14.6 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.4% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Jurij Rodionov ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Sonego Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-25 | L |
| 24/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Karen Khachanov Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/05 | Nuno Borges French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 20/05 | Tommy Paul ATP Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 18/05 | Terence Atmane ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Ignacio Buse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Kilian Feldbausch ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Vit Kopriva ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Emilio Nava Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 55% to Ignacio Buse, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.