Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 15:30
Prediction: Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcan
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bublik
Alex Molcan
Estimated games
27
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bublik
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Molcan
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Bublik
0–1
Alex Molcan
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bublik 1535 · Alex Molcan 1533
| Alexander Bublik | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alexander Bublik 0–1 Alex Molcan (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Bublik | Alex Molcan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Grass | 63% (8) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.4 | 1.7-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 16.4-16 | 14.6-12.4 |
| Aces | 17 | 4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 80.1% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27
H2H · Alexander Bublik 0 – 1 Alex Molcan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Bublik 0–1 Alex Molcan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 ATP Munich | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bublik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-27 | W |
| 02/07 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Ziga Sesko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bublik vs Alex Molcan?
Our model gives 55% to Alexander Bublik, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.