Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Sebastian Baez
Estimated games
24.8
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
6-4 (W-L)
Sebastian Baez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
1–1
Sebastian Baez
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1546 · Sebastian Baez 1584
| Yannick Hanfmann | Sebastian Baez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 53% | 47% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Sebastian Baez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-12.1 | 13.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 82.2% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 24.8% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 1 Sebastian Baez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 1–1 Sebastian Baez
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/25 ATP Kitzbuhel | 2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 13/02/22 ATP Rio De Janeiro | 1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 23/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Fonseca ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Sebastian Baez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 21/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Jesper De Jong ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Max Dahlin ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 24-26 | L |
| 07/06 | Alex Molcan Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Tristan Boyer Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baez?
Our model gives 51% to Sebastian Baez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.