Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lillie Murphy vs Audrey Aulia
Prediction summary
Winner
Lillie Murphy
Audrey Aulia
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lillie Murphy
7-3 (W-L)
Audrey Aulia
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lillie Murphy
1–0
Audrey Aulia
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lillie Murphy 1575 · Audrey Aulia 1558
| Lillie Murphy | Audrey Aulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lillie Murphy 1–0 Audrey Aulia (1).
- Note: Audrey Aulia makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Lillie Murphy | Audrey Aulia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-7.8 | 12-10.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 61.1% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Lillie Murphy 1 – 0 Audrey Aulia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lillie Murphy 1–0 Audrey Aulia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 UTR Pro Knoxville Women | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lillie Murphy
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Reese Frank UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Gabrielle Guenther UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/08 | Paula Dougherty UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Audrey Aulia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Mia Robinson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 16/07 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Gabrielle Guenther UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lillie Murphy vs Audrey Aulia?
Our model gives 56% to Lillie Murphy, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.