Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 17/07, 18:00
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Mary Boyce Deatherage
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Mary Boyce Deatherage
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
5-5 (W-L)
Mary Boyce Deatherage
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riley Crowder
0–1
Mary Boyce Deatherage
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1565 · Mary Boyce Deatherage 1539
| Riley Crowder | Mary Boyce Deatherage | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Riley Crowder 0–1 Mary Boyce Deatherage (1).
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Mary Boyce Deatherage | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10.6 | 12.9-11.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.1% | 63.7% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
H2H · Riley Crowder 0 – 1 Mary Boyce Deatherage (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riley Crowder 0–1 Mary Boyce Deatherage
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/23 ITF W15 Huntsville | 1-2 | 13-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Savannah Webster UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Olivia Carneiro UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/12 | Rachael Smith UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/12 | Andrea Nova UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Mary Boyce Deatherage
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Sydney Jara UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/06 | Ellie Myers UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Prisca Abbas UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/08 | Jennifer Riester UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Lan Mi UTR Pro Charlotte Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Mary Boyce Deatherage?
Our model gives 60% to Riley Crowder, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.