Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 16/07, 21:00
Prediction: Audrey Aulia vs Liam Oved
Prediction summary
Winner
Audrey Aulia
Liam Oved
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Audrey Aulia
7-3 (W-L)
Liam Oved
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audrey Aulia 1545 · Liam Oved 1457
| Audrey Aulia | Liam Oved | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Audrey Aulia (rating 1545 vs 1457).
- Audrey Aulia is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Audrey Aulia makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Liam Oved makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Audrey Aulia | Liam Oved | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-8.8 | 8.9-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 50.8% |
| Break % | 37.9% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audrey Aulia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/06 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Gabrielle Guenther UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 19/06 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Addison Iacono UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Germany Davis UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Liam Oved
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 27/06 | Calla McGill UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Alyson Shannon UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Ellison Reynoldson UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/06 | Kaya Moe UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Kaia Giribalan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/04 | Lily Revak UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/04 | Solymar Colling UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Audrey Aulia vs Liam Oved?
Our model gives 62% to Audrey Aulia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.