Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 17/07, 19:30
Prediction: Lexie Weir vs Aya Manning
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexie Weir
Aya Manning
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lexie Weir
5-5 (W-L)
Aya Manning
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lexie Weir
1–0
Aya Manning
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexie Weir 1528 · Aya Manning 1443
| Lexie Weir | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lexie Weir (rating 1528 vs 1443).
- Lexie Weir is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lexie Weir 1–0 Aya Manning (1).
- Note: Aya Manning makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Lexie Weir | Aya Manning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 25% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10 | 10-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 59.9% | 59% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Lexie Weir 1 – 0 Aya Manning (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lexie Weir 1–0 Aya Manning
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/26 UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexie Weir
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Aya Manning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Lillie Murphy UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Katie Spencer UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 14/06 | Camille Kiss UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 12/06 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexie Weir vs Aya Manning?
Our model gives 62% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.