Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Riley Crowder vs Catherine Rennard
Prediction summary
Winner
Riley Crowder
Catherine Rennard
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Riley Crowder
6-4 (W-L)
Catherine Rennard
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Riley Crowder
1–0
Catherine Rennard
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riley Crowder 1594 · Catherine Rennard 1646
| Riley Crowder | Catherine Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Catherine Rennard (rating 1594 vs 1646).
- Head-to-head: Riley Crowder 1–0 Catherine Rennard (1).
- Note: Riley Crowder makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Catherine Rennard makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Riley Crowder | Catherine Rennard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 100% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 2-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-9.9 | 14-8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Riley Crowder 1 – 0 Catherine Rennard (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riley Crowder 1–0 Catherine Rennard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/24 UTR Pro Boca Raton Women | 2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riley Crowder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Mary Boyce Deatherage UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Elle Warren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Mackenzie Clark UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Taylor Goetz UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Amina Salibayeva UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/05 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Savannah Webster UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/05 | Olivia Carneiro UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/12 | Rachael Smith UTR Pro Oxford Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Catherine Rennard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 16/07 | Bianca Ceroni UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 15/07 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Liam Oved UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 11/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Nicole Okhtenberg UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucia Fuduric UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Audrey Aulia UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ariana Gilbert UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riley Crowder vs Catherine Rennard?
Our model gives 53% to Catherine Rennard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.