Tennis · M15 Uslar · 18/07, 15:00
Prediction: Adrian Oetzbach vs Vincent Marysko
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Oetzbach
Vincent Marysko
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Oetzbach
6-4 (W-L)
Vincent Marysko
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adrian Oetzbach
1–0
Vincent Marysko
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Oetzbach 1562 · Vincent Marysko 1510
| Adrian Oetzbach | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adrian Oetzbach (rating 1562 vs 1510).
- Head-to-head: Adrian Oetzbach 1–0 Vincent Marysko (1).
Statistics
| Adrian Oetzbach | Vincent Marysko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.9 | 10.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Adrian Oetzbach 1 – 0 Vincent Marysko (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adrian Oetzbach 1–0 Vincent Marysko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/23 M25 Kassel | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Oetzbach
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Yannic Nittmann M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Schlageter M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Ryo Tabata M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andre Nemeth M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Hazem Naw M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Vincent Marysko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Lasse Poertner M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Hammes M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Oetzbach vs Vincent Marysko?
Our model gives 51% to Adrian Oetzbach, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.