Tennis · M15 Uslar · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Tomasz Berkieta vs Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Tomasz Berkieta
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tomasz Berkieta
5-5 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tomasz Berkieta 1520 · Nikolai Barsukov 1492
| Tomasz Berkieta | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Tomasz Berkieta | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.6 | 10.1-10 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 30.1% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tomasz Berkieta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Liam Gavrielides M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Vito Tonejc M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Leyton Rivera M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/06 | Aleksandar Tolev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/06 | Edison Ambarzumjan Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Isac Stroemberg M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/07 | Matthew William Donald M25 Kassel |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Matteo Fondriest M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/06 | Manvydas Balciunas M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/06 | Lasse Poertner M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Lilian Marmousez M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fons Van Sambeek M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 03/06 | Martins Rocens M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tomasz Berkieta vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 57% to Tomasz Berkieta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.