Tennis · M15 Uslar · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Isac Stroemberg vs Nikolai Barsukov

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Isac Stroemberg Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Isac Stroemberg 5-5 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLWW
Nikolai Barsukov 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Isac Stroemberg 1533 · Nikolai Barsukov 1482
Isac StroembergNikolai Barsukov
Our model57%43%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Isac Stroemberg (rating 1533 vs 1482).

Statistics

Isac StroembergNikolai Barsukov
Win %60%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.90.9-1.3
Games (G-P)9.7-9.39.8-10.6
Aces24.9
Double faults3.52.4
1st serve %63.1%67.9%
Break %43%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Isac Stroemberg

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Lewie Lane
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Andre Megrabian
M15 Uslar
2-0 12-8 W
08/07 Ioannis Xilas
M25 Kassel
0-2 2-12 L
07/07 Ruben Hartig
M25 Kassel
2-0 13-9 W
15/06 Jan Sebesta
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
14/06 Yannick Castelnuovo
M25 Klosters · ~Clay
2-1 9-9 W
10/06 Raphael Vaksmann
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
08/06 Cameron Price
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
05/12 Vlado Jankanj
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/12 Kai Milburn
UTR Pro Oxford · Hard
2-0 13-9 W

Nikolai Barsukov

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Matthew William Donald
M25 Kassel
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Matteo Fondriest
M25 Kassel
2-1 18-12 W
23/06 Michel Hopp
M15 Kamen · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
19/06 Pieter De Lange
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-2 13-17 L
18/06 Manvydas Balciunas
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Lasse Poertner
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
1-0 7-6 W
09/06 Lilian Marmousez
M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Fons Van Sambeek
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L
03/06 Martins Rocens
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
26/05 Nino Ehrenschneider
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Isac Stroemberg vs Nikolai Barsukov?

Our model gives 57% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.