Prediction: Oleksii Krutykh vs Johan Oscar Lien
Prediction summary
Winner
Oleksii Krutykh
Johan Oscar Lien
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oleksii Krutykh
10-0 (W-L)
Johan Oscar Lien
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oleksii Krutykh 1596 · Johan Oscar Lien 1518
| Oleksii Krutykh | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oleksii Krutykh (rating 1596 vs 1518).
- Oleksii Krutykh is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oleksii Krutykh | Johan Oscar Lien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 86% (7) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-7.7 | 10.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 74.9% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 50.5% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oleksii Krutykh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Max Wiskandt M25 Kassel |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
| 08/07 | Gregor Hausberger M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/07 | Daniel Siniakov M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/06 | Benito Sanchez Martinez M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-4 | W |
| 27/06 | Vincent Marysko M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/06 | Michel Hopp M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Johan Oscar Lien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Justin Schlageter M15 Uslar |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Manel Lazaro Juncadella M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Sydney Zick M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Calvin Mueller M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Eric Dylan Mueller M15 Rosbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Adrian Oetzbach M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Jan Hrazdil M15 Klagenfurt · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/05 | Felix Balshaw M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Alen Mujakic M15 Prijedor · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oleksii Krutykh vs Johan Oscar Lien?
Our model gives 73% to Oleksii Krutykh, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.