Prediction: Vincent Marysko vs Lasse Poertner
Prediction summary
Winner
Vincent Marysko
Lasse Poertner
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Vincent Marysko
6-4 (W-L)
Lasse Poertner
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Vincent Marysko
1–1
Lasse Poertner
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vincent Marysko 1516 · Lasse Poertner 1520
| Vincent Marysko | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Vincent Marysko | Lasse Poertner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.8 | 11.6-9 |
| Aces | 4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 73.2% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 60% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Vincent Marysko 1 – 1 Lasse Poertner (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vincent Marysko 1–1 Lasse Poertner
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/24 M15 Kamen | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/01/24 M25 Nussloch | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vincent Marysko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Noah Schlagenhauf M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Oleksii Krutykh M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Tim Hammes M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Patrick-Valentin Moise M15 Kamen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/06 | Taym Alazmeh M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Lasse Poertner
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Niklas Guttau M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Kaspar Mathes M15 Uslar |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Kassel |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero M25 Kassel |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Michel Hopp M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Julien Penzlin M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Julian Forer M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Nikolai Barsukov M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
0-1 | 6-7 | L |
| 15/06 | Kim Johannes Niethammer M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/06 | Sander Jong Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vincent Marysko vs Lasse Poertner?
Our model gives 50% to Vincent Marysko, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.