Tennis · W15 Luan · 18/07, 08:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Naho Sato
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Naho Sato
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
5-5 (W-L)
Naho Sato
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1616 · Naho Sato 1564
| Alina Tikhonova | Naho Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1616 vs 1564).
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Naho Sato | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-9.8 | 10.7-6.4 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 60.2% |
| Break % | 59.1% | 59.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Seo Yun Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
Naho Sato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Gio Jang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Junlu Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Gyeong Seo Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Eunhye Lee W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/06 | Nao Phang Ziyi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 19/06 | Dayeon Back W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Sakura Hosogi W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Feier Hu W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Ji Min Park W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/06 | Kayo Nishimura W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Naho Sato?
Our model gives 57% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.