Tennis · W15 Luan · 17/07, 10:00
Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Seo Yun Choi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Seo Yun Choi
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
6-4 (W-L)
Seo Yun Choi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1615 · Seo Yun Choi 1555
| Alina Tikhonova | Seo Yun Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1615 vs 1555).
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Seo Yun Choi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-8.9 | 11.7-8.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 56.2% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 61.3% | 58.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Salakthip Ounmuang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
Seo Yun Choi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Yu Shan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/07 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/07 | Rira Kosaka W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Jasmine Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Aoi Watanabe W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Riyo Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Seo Yun Choi?
Our model gives 70% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.