Prediction: Alina Tikhonova vs Salakthip Ounmuang
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Tikhonova
Salakthip Ounmuang
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Salakthip Ounmuang
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Tikhonova 1621 · Salakthip Ounmuang 1524
| Alina Tikhonova | Salakthip Ounmuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1621 vs 1524).
- Alina Tikhonova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alina Tikhonova | Salakthip Ounmuang | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.6 | 11.6-8.6 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 56.1% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 62.4% | 59.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Chengyiyi Yuan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Salakthip Ounmuang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/07 | Jiayue Pan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Rira Kosaka W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-11 | L |
| 22/10 | Edda Mamedova ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Thessy N Zinga ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Edda Mamedova UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/10 | Cookie Jarvis-Tredgett UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 01/10 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Kaiden Greer UTR Pro Norman Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Tikhonova vs Salakthip Ounmuang?
Our model gives 73% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.