Tennis · W15 Luan · 16/07, 04:00

Prediction: Junhan Zhang vs Rira Kosaka

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Junhan Zhang Rira Kosaka
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Junhan Zhang 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLLWLLW
Rira Kosaka 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Junhan Zhang 1508 · Rira Kosaka 1483
Junhan ZhangRira Kosaka
Our model54%46%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Rira Kosaka makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Junhan ZhangRira Kosaka
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 50% (10) 38% (8)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.5-11.710.4-11
Aces2.11
Double faults3.65.6
1st serve %60.9%54.5%
Break %50.6%50.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Junhan Zhang

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Ma Ruoxi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
1-0 6-0 W
09/07 Alina Tikhonova
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
08/07 Eva Marie Desvignes
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 19-14 W
30/06 Anna Snigireva
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 11-18 L
24/06 Evialina Laskevich
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
19/06 Chenting Zhu
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Ekaterina Yashina
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 15-11 W
17/06 Yidi Yang
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-1 18-17 W
11/06 Mei Yamaguchi
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Yufei Ren
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Rira Kosaka

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Liuyan An
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Xin Tong Wang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 10-10 W
08/07 Seo Yun Choi
W15 Luan · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Salakthip Ounmuang
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
30/06 Yui Ohwaki
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
1-2 10-10 L
25/06 Ying Zhang
W15 Sapporo
1-2 15-17 L
24/06 Mutsumi Uemura
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-6 W
13/05 Gaeul Jang
W35 Andong · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/05 Moeka Miyata
W35 Fukuoka · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/04 Elena Micic
W35 Miyazaki · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Junhan Zhang vs Rira Kosaka?

Our model gives 61% to Junhan Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.