Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Alina Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Chengyiyi Yuan
Alina Tikhonova
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan
5-5 (W-L)
Alina Tikhonova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chengyiyi Yuan
0–1
Alina Tikhonova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1559 · Alina Tikhonova 1630
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Tikhonova (rating 1559 vs 1630).
- Head-to-head: Chengyiyi Yuan 0–1 Alina Tikhonova (1).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Alina Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.4 | 12-8 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 56.4% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 63% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Chengyiyi Yuan 0 – 1 Alina Tikhonova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chengyiyi Yuan 0–1 Alina Tikhonova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 W15 Luan | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengyiyi Yuan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Xinyi Nong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Anna Snigireva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | JiaYi Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Junlu Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Yu Jin Ahn W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Han Shi W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Sara Saito W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/06 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Alina Tikhonova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Cheuk Ying Shek W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Maria Kalyakina W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 09/07 | Junhan Zhang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Onyu Choi W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-8 | W |
| 16/05 | Xi Luo W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 15/05 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Su Jin Kim W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Alina Tikhonova?
Our model gives 63% to Alina Tikhonova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.