Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Nina Radovanovic vs Rikke De Koning

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Nina Radovanovic Rikke De Koning
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nina Radovanovic 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWW
Rikke De Koning 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nina Radovanovic 1585 · Rikke De Koning 1515
Nina RadovanovicRikke De Koning
Our model60%40%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nina Radovanovic (rating 1585 vs 1515).
  • Nina Radovanovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Nina Radovanovic makes many double faults (4.1/match).
  • Note: Rikke De Koning makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Nina RadovanovicRikke De Koning
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 80% (10) 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.41.3-1.2
Games (G-P)11.2-611.4-10.8
Aces1.41
Double faults4.14.7
1st serve %68.7%58.5%
Break %55.5%64.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nina Radovanovic

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Lucia Natal
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/07 Milica Stosovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Lana Virc
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
04/07 Anja Stankovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
03/07 Julia Stamatova
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Dimitra Pavlou
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/07 Tea Nikcevic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
28/06 Ksenia Zaytseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
27/06 Anja Stankovic
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/06 Mia Horvit
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Rikke De Koning

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Sophie Greiner
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
16/07 Gloria De Santis
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Emira Diabate
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
06/07 Jenny Lim
W75 The Hague
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Sara Cakarevic
W75 The Hague
2-0 12-5 W
30/06 Carmen Andreea Herea
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
29/06 Polina Kuharenko
W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay
2-1 12-11 W
24/06 Charlotte Narti
W15 Alkmaar · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
05/05 Rebecca Peterson
W15 Kalmar · ~Clay
1-2 12-15 L
28/04 Eva Marie Voracek
W15 Oegstgeest · ~Clay
1-2 14-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nina Radovanovic vs Rikke De Koning?

Our model gives 67% to Nina Radovanovic, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.