Tennis · W35 Dallas · 17/07, 17:00

Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Malaika Rapolu Lexington Reed
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu 8-2 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWW
Lexington Reed 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1530 · Lexington Reed 1513
Malaika RapoluLexington Reed
Our model52%48%
Market86%14%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Malaika RapoluLexington Reed
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.81.2-1.1
Games (G-P)10.5-7.810.8-8.8
Aces1.21.7
Double faults3.22.7
1st serve %70%61.2%
Break %56.7%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Malaika Rapolu

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Ankita Raina
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-4 W
15/07 Anita Sahdiieva
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Sara Daavettila
W50 Columbus
1-2 14-15 L
09/07 Miho Kuramochi
W50 Columbus
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Ayana Akli
W50 Columbus
2-0 13-6 W
01/07 Kristina Liutova
W100 Cary · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
30/06 Mary Lewis
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
29/06 Jasmine Conway
W100 Cary · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/06 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Rome
1-2 10-15 L
12/06 Madison Brengle
W35 Decatur · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Lexington Reed

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Jennifer Jackson
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Eunhye Lee
W35 Dallas
2-0 13-6 W
14/07 Zimora Mcknight
W35 Dallas
2-0 12-3 W
07/07 Christasha McNeil
W50 Columbus
1-2 14-13 L
06/07 Elizabeth Ionescu
W50 Columbus
2-1 15-11 W
03/12 Abigail Rencheli
ITF W35 Daytona Beach
0-2 10-13 L
11/11 Sophia Biolay
ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
04/11 Akasha Urhobo
ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 0-12 L
31/10 Anna Perelman
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
29/10 Jimena Gomez
UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard
1-2 12-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed?

Our model gives 71% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.