Tennis · W35 Dallas · 17/07, 17:00
Prediction: Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Malaika Rapolu
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Malaika Rapolu
8-2 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malaika Rapolu 1530 · Lexington Reed 1513
| Malaika Rapolu | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Malaika Rapolu | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.8 | 10.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 42.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malaika Rapolu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Ankita Raina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Anita Sahdiieva W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Sara Daavettila W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Miho Kuramochi W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/07 | Ayana Akli W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Kristina Liutova W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Mary Lewis W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Jasmine Conway W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Rome |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 12/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Eunhye Lee W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Zimora Mcknight W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Elizabeth Ionescu W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 03/12 | Abigail Rencheli ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/11 | Sophia Biolay ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Akasha Urhobo ITF W35 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 31/10 | Anna Perelman UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/10 | Jimena Gomez UTR Pro College Station Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malaika Rapolu vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 71% to Malaika Rapolu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

