Tennis · W35 Dallas · 16/07, 17:00
Prediction: Yexin Ma vs Rachel Gailis
Prediction summary
Winner
Yexin Ma
Rachel Gailis
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yexin Ma
5-5 (W-L)
Rachel Gailis
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yexin Ma 1512 · Rachel Gailis 1502
| Yexin Ma | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Yexin Ma makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Yexin Ma | Rachel Gailis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-9.6 | 9.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 35.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yexin Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Theadora Rabman W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Francoise Abanda W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Mia Slama W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 02/07 | Momoko Kobori W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Erika Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Xinxin Yao W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Ya-Yi Yang W50 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Rachel Gailis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexis Nguyen W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Christasha McNeil W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kaia Giribalan W15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Kristina Penickova W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Isabella Marton W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 03/06 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 21/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Weston · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 15/01 | Tatiana Pieri W35 Bradenton |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/01 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W35 Bradenton |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yexin Ma vs Rachel Gailis?
Our model gives 67% to Yexin Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.