Tennis · W35 Dallas · 16/07, 17:00
Prediction: Christasha McNeil vs Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Christasha McNeil
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Christasha McNeil
6-4 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
2-8 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Christasha McNeil
0–1
Maria Kononova
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Christasha McNeil 1500 · Maria Kononova 1452
| Christasha McNeil | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Christasha McNeil (rating 1500 vs 1452).
- Head-to-head: Christasha McNeil 0–1 Maria Kononova (1).
- Note: Christasha McNeil makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Christasha McNeil | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.5 | 10-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.2% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 47.8% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Christasha McNeil 0 – 1 Maria Kononova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Christasha McNeil 0–1 Maria Kononova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/24 W35 Boca Raton | 1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Christasha McNeil
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | BoYoung Jeong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Rachel Gailis W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Lexington Reed W50 Columbus |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Bella Payne W35 Rome |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 17/03 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 12/11 | Wakana Sonobe ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 11/11 | Salma Drugdova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maria Kononova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lillian Santos W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 18/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Avery Nguyen W35 Charlotte |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Christasha McNeil vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 68% to Christasha McNeil, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.