Tennis · W35 Dallas · 17/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alina Shcherbinina vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Shcherbinina
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Shcherbinina
8-2 (W-L)
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Shcherbinina 1614 · Ekaterina Khayrutdinova 1521
| Alina Shcherbinina | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1614 vs 1521).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (5.4/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Khayrutdinova makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alina Shcherbinina | Ekaterina Khayrutdinova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-6.9 | 10.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 51.6% | 53.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Jia-Jing Lu W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 15/07 | Kira Matushkina W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/07 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Vesa Gjinaj W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kingsley Wolf W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ekaterina Khayrutdinova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Dasha Ivanova W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/07 | Chukwumelije Clarke W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Madison Brengle W35 Rome |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Ava Catanzarite W35 Rome |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/06 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Elena-Teodora Cadar W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 10/06 | Ashton Bowers W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Cadence Brace W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Olivia Lincer W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Shcherbinina vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova?
Our model gives 59% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.