Tennis · M25 Uriage · 17/07, 12:00

Prediction: Daniel Jade vs Viktor Durasovic

Prediction summary
Winner
56% 44%
Daniel Jade Viktor Durasovic
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Jade 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWW
Viktor Durasovic 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Daniel Jade 1568 · Viktor Durasovic 1483
Daniel JadeViktor Durasovic
Our model62%38%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jade (rating 1568 vs 1483).
  • Daniel Jade is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Daniel JadeViktor Durasovic
Win %80%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (8) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.2-1.3
Games (G-P)11.1-8.612-11.7
Aces6.23.8
Double faults1.82.7
1st serve %73%67.7%
Break %34.3%55.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Daniel Jade

WWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Rodrigo Alujas
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Uriage
2-0 14-12 W
17/06 Raphael Perot
Challenger Royan · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
16/06 Michael Zhu
Challenger Royan · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
30/05 Arthur Nagel
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
29/05 Hugo Car
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/05 Mathys Domenc
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-1 14-16 W
27/05 Adan Freire Da Silva
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/05 Lucas Poullain
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
20/05 August Holmgren
French Open · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Viktor Durasovic

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-6 W
15/07 Arthur Laborde
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-5 W
05/07 Vincent Marysko
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Matisse Bobichon
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 12-16 L
01/07 Damien Salvestre
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-1 15-13 W
23/06 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
1-2 12-17 L
18/06 Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
17/06 Lorenzo Berto
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 18-11 W
16/06 Jacopo Bilardo
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
07/06 Martin Krumich
Challenger Bratislava · Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Daniel Jade vs Viktor Durasovic?

Our model gives 56% to Daniel Jade, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.