Tennis · M25 Uriage · 16/07, 11:30
Prediction: Daniel Jade vs Rodrigo Alujas
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Jade
Rodrigo Alujas
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Jade
6-4 (W-L)
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Jade 1577 · Rodrigo Alujas 1488
| Daniel Jade | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Jade (rating 1577 vs 1488).
- Daniel Jade is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Daniel Jade | Rodrigo Alujas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-8.8 | 10.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 9.6 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 62.8% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Jade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Michael Zhu Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/05 | Hugo Car M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Mathys Domenc M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 27/05 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/05 | Lucas Poullain M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | August Holmgren French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Daniel Evans French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Damien Clerc M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Arcila M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/06 | Maxime Chazal Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Tom Zeuch M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/04 | Jerry Roddick M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/04 | Alejandro Hayen M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Jade vs Rodrigo Alujas?
Our model gives 75% to Daniel Jade, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.