Tennis · M25 Uriage · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Maxence Rivet
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Maxence Rivet
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
5-5 (W-L)
Maxence Rivet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1488 · Maxence Rivet 1520
| Florent Bax | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-11.6 | 8.9-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.9 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 71.4% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Lenny Couturier M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 18-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Justin Lenders M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Chris Rodesch Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/05 | Gonzalo Bueno French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/05 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Federico Gargano M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Lenny Couturier M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Isaac Becroft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 31/03 | Yannik Kelm M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Maxence Rivet?
Our model gives 67% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.