Tennis · M25 Uriage · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Andrea M'chich vs Alexander Weis

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Andrea M'chich Alexander Weis
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea M'chich 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWWW
Alexander Weis 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea M'chich 1548 · Alexander Weis 1541
Andrea M'chichAlexander Weis
Our model51%49%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andrea M'chichAlexander Weis
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.61.4-0.6
Games (G-P)10.7-7.811-8.6
Aces2.73.1
Double faults2.41.1
1st serve %72.9%73.2%
Break %36.9%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea M'chich

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Jeremy Schifris
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-8 W
14/07 Benoit Geldof
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-6 W
13/07 Timothee Andriveau
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-7 W
02/07 Sean Cuenin
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
01/07 Federico Valle
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
30/06 Joshua Schaefer
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
29/06 Oliwer Wierzbicki
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
24/06 Yassine Dlimi
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Hugo Car
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Timeo Bretin
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Alexander Weis

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Nicola Senn
M25 Uriage
2-0 12-6 W
11/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 14-11 W
09/07 Damien Salvestre
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Arthur Bonnaud
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 12-3 W
03/07 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
0-2 12-14 L
02/07 Kacper Szymkowiak
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
01/07 Amar Huseinovikj
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
16/06 Enrico Dalla Valle
Challenger Parma · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/06 Lorenzo Bocchi
Challenger Parma · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea M'chich vs Alexander Weis?

Our model gives 64% to Alexander Weis, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.