Tennis · M25 Uriage · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Luca Wiedenmann vs Alessio Basile
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Wiedenmann
Alessio Basile
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Wiedenmann
8-2 (W-L)
Alessio Basile
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Wiedenmann 1551 · Alessio Basile 1521
| Luca Wiedenmann | Alessio Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Wiedenmann | Alessio Basile | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-8.9 | 9.7-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72% |
| Break % | 48% | 51.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Antonin Witz M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Store |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Nikola Slavic M15 Store |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Adam Jilly M15 Store |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/06 | Leonardo Tombolini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 09/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Alessio Basile
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Adan Freire Da Silva M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/07 | Franco Ribero Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Kirill Kivattsev M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Robert Strombachs M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/01 | Haruki Okude UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/01 | Alexander Merson UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/01 | Lukas Frangenberg UTR Pro Stillwater · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/11 | Francesco Forti M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 26/11 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/11 | Alexandru Toubi Hebhang Balan M25 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Wiedenmann vs Alessio Basile?
Our model gives 71% to Luca Wiedenmann, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.