Tennis · M15 Rochester · 16/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Ilija Palavestra
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bernard
Ilija Palavestra
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard
7-3 (W-L)
Ilija Palavestra
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1534 · Ilija Palavestra 1490
| Alexander Bernard | Ilija Palavestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1534 vs 1490).
Statistics
| Alexander Bernard | Ilija Palavestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.5 | 10.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 53.6% | 30.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bernard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Daniel Kliebhan M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Vuk Radjenovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
| 20/12 | Callum Markowitz UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/12 | Jose David Segovia Perez UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/12 | Hod'abalo Isak Padio UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 16/12 | Tygen Goldammer UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/12 | Louay Makke UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/11 | Aidan Kim ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Ilija Palavestra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Drew Van Orderlain M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Velcz M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Kaipo Marshall M15 Boca Raton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/03 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Montreal |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 11/03 | Adam Faragcao M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/03 | Numa Lemieux-Monette M15 Montreal |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/03 | Thomas Edwards M15 Sherbrooke |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 12/11 | William Jansen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 17/10 | Jonasz Dziopak UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Murfreesboro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Ilija Palavestra?
Our model gives 58% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.