Tennis · M15 Rochester · 16/07, 20:00
Prediction: Drew Fishback vs Jerrid Gaines Jr
Prediction summary
Winner
Drew Fishback
Jerrid Gaines Jr
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Drew Fishback
7-3 (W-L)
Jerrid Gaines Jr
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Drew Fishback 1578 · Jerrid Gaines Jr 1468
| Drew Fishback | Jerrid Gaines Jr | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Drew Fishback (rating 1578 vs 1468).
- Drew Fishback is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Jerrid Gaines Jr makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Drew Fishback | Jerrid Gaines Jr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.3 | 11.3-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Drew Fishback
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Anuj Watane M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 27/06 | Gabe Avram UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/06 | Lincoln Battle UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Davis Wiley UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/05 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/05 | Oscar Corwin UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/05 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Drew Hedgecoe UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/05 | Shaan Patel UTR Pro Madison · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Jerrid Gaines Jr
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Andrew Delgado M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Jack Kennedy M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/04 | Alexander Kotzen M15 Boca Raton |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/02 | Pierre Delage M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Freddie Ridout M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/02 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Sunrise |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/02 | Fermin Tenti M15 Palm Coast |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 04/02 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Palm Coast |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 03/02 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Palm Coast |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Drew Fishback vs Jerrid Gaines Jr?
Our model gives 57% to Drew Fishback, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.