Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Valentina Steiner

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Irene Burillo Escorihuela Valentina Steiner
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Irene Burillo Escorihuela 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWWL
Valentina Steiner 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Irene Burillo Escorihuela 1448 · Valentina Steiner 1538
Irene Burillo EscorihuelaValentina Steiner
Our model37%63%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentina Steiner (rating 1448 vs 1538).
  • Valentina Steiner is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Irene Burillo EscorihuelaValentina Steiner
Win %30%70%
Win % · Clay 22% (9) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.71.4-0.8
Games (G-P)11-13.510.7-8.8
Aces4.50.4
Double faults1.82.7
1st serve %53.9%59.9%
Break %38.6%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Irene Burillo Escorihuela

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Gabriella Da Silva Fick
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 18-10 W
09/07 Kaitlin Quevedo
WTA Bastad · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
08/07 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 19-16 W
06/07 Noma Noha Akugue
WTA Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
24/06 Beatrise Zeltina
W50 Gdansk · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
27/05 Tyra Caterina Grant
W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/05 Viktoriya Tomova
French Open Women · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
13/05 Lea Boskovic
W75 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 7-14 L
06/05 Mina Hodzic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-11 L
21/04 Ayla Aksu
W75 Chiasso · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Valentina Steiner

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Maria Florencia Urrutia
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 19-16 W
14/07 Laura Boehner
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-8 W
13/07 Leonie Schuknecht
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-3 W
09/07 Ekaterine Gorgodze
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-5 W
01/07 Maria Lourdes Carle
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 1-12 L
19/06 Lucie Petruzelova
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L
18/06 Matylda Burylo
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Eva Bennemann
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
14/06 Tamila Gadamauri
W15 Merzig · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Valentina Steiner?

Our model gives 51% to Valentina Steiner, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.