Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Alicia Herrero Linana vs Dayeon Back

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Alicia Herrero Linana Dayeon Back
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alicia Herrero Linana 7-3 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWLW
Dayeon Back 9-1 (W-L)
WWWWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alicia Herrero Linana 1595 · Dayeon Back 1607
Alicia Herrero LinanaDayeon Back
Our model48%52%
Market44%56%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alicia Herrero LinanaDayeon Back
Win %80%90%
Win % · Hard 100% (2) 89% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.8-0.2
Games (G-P)11.7-6.912.1-6.3
Aces0.10.5
Double faults1.31.8
1st serve %62.6%68%
Break %53.3%54.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alicia Herrero Linana

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Lea Nilsson
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Mayar Sherif
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
09/07 Clara Burel
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
07/07 Elina Avanesyan
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
06/07 Lucie Nguyen Tan
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
05/07 Dune Vaissaud
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 17-8 W
25/06 Savannah Broadus
W35 Rome
0-2 7-13 L
23/06 Carolina Bohrer Martins
W35 Rome
2-0 12-3 W
19/06 Nadia Elle Valdez
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/06 Harper Stone
UTR Pro Rome Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Dayeon Back

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Sandra Samir
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-5 W
26/06 Priska Madelyn Nugroho
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
0-2 10-13 L
25/06 Thasaporn Naklo
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
24/06 Kisa Yoshioka
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/06 Haruka Kaji
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
20/06 Hiromi Abe
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
19/06 Naho Sato
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
18/06 Anchisa Chanta
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/06 Yu-Ning Tsai
W35 Taipei · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/05 Ha Eum Lee
W35 Changwon · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alicia Herrero Linana vs Dayeon Back?

Our model gives 54% to Dayeon Back, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.