Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Tena Lukas

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Tessa Johanna Brockmann Tena Lukas
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Tessa Johanna Brockmann 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLLW
Tena Lukas 5-5 (W-L)
WWLLLLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tessa Johanna Brockmann 1477 · Tena Lukas 1456
Tessa Johanna BrockmannTena Lukas
Our model53%47%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tessa Johanna Brockmann makes many double faults (4.9/match).
  • Note: Tena Lukas makes many double faults (7.2/match).

Statistics

Tessa Johanna BrockmannTena Lukas
Win %40%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (6) 17% (6)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41-1.3
Games (G-P)10.7-11.910.5-9.9
Aces3.12.4
Double faults4.97.2
1st serve %62.5%63.4%
Break %44.7%46.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Josy Daems
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-5 W
08/07 Teodora Kostovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 4-12 L
03/07 Alice Tubello
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
02/07 Mona Barthel
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-0 7-3 W
01/07 Kathinka Von Deichmann
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
24/06 Ekaterina Kazionova
W15 Kamen · ~Clay
1-2 15-19 L
15/06 Suzan Lamens
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
15/06 Alycia Parks
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-1 16-12 W
09/06 Elina Avanesyan
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
02/06 Nastasja Schunk
W75 Caserta · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L

Tena Lukas

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Carla Markus
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 12-3 W
08/07 Julia Avdeeva
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 7-12 L
07/07 Tina Manescu
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 13-11 W
06/07 Marcelina Podlinska
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-1 16-10 W
29/06 Danka Kovinic
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 9-12 L
10/06 Mia Ristic
W100 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 5-9 L
04/06 Darja Semenistaja
WTA Makarska · Clay
1-2 16-18 L
28/05 Gabriela Ce
W35 Bol · ~Clay
0-1 1-6 L
27/05 Weronika Ewald
W35 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/05 Iva Primorac Pavicic
W35 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 14-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Tena Lukas?

Our model gives 54% to Tena Lukas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.