Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00

Prediction: Diana Martynov vs Xinxin Yao

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Diana Martynov Xinxin Yao
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Diana Martynov 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLW
Xinxin Yao 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diana Martynov 1527 · Xinxin Yao 1530
Diana MartynovXinxin Yao
Our model50%50%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Diana MartynovXinxin Yao
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.2-1
Games (G-P)9.9-9.311.1-10.2
Aces0.80.9
Double faults3.91.7
1st serve %63.2%57.7%
Break %35.4%57.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diana Martynov

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Francesca Parcelli
W50 Darmstadt
2-1 15-12 W
07/07 Jeline Vandromme
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/07 Astrid Lew Yan Foon
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-1 17-14 W
05/07 Michaela Bayerlova
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Ipek Oz
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
16/06 Kim Chiarello
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
11/06 Tatiana Pieri
W35 Nice
0-2 3-12 L
10/06 Kayla Lorrimer
W35 Nice
2-0 11-3 W
07/05 Teodora Kostovic
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Julia Avdeeva
W75 Saint-Gaudens · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Xinxin Yao

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Isabel Skoog
W50 Darmstadt
2-0 13-7 W
07/07 Darya Astakhova
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 9-13 L
10/06 Mai Hontama
W100 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/06 Yufei Ren
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
06/06 Reina Goto
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 16-11 W
05/06 JiaYi Wang
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
04/06 Yexin Ma
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
03/06 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W50 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 18-10 W
26/05 Maria Golovina
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
22/05 Zongyu Li
W35 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diana Martynov vs Xinxin Yao?

Our model gives 57% to Xinxin Yao, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.