Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
8-2 (W-L)
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1585 · Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur 1550
| Francesca Curmi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.6 | 11.5-7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 63.2% |
| Break % | 51.8% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Fernanda Labrana W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rebeka Masarova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Oceane Dodin WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Alevtina Ibragimova W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Ipek Oz W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Jenny Lim W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/06 | Lola Radivojevic W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W75 Blois · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Annemarie Lazar W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Lian Tran W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 05/07 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Barbora Palicova W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Lia Karatancheva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/06 | Julie Pastikova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Alena Kovackova W35 Bolszewo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur?
Our model gives 54% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.