Tennis · M25 Uriage · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Arthur Bellegy vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Bellegy
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Bellegy
6-4 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Bellegy 1498 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1538
| Arthur Bellegy | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1498 vs 1538).
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Arthur Bellegy | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-9.6 | 11.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.3% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 24% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Bellegy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 25/02 | Vardan Manukyan M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/02 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Antalya · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Aaron Gil Garcia ITF M25 Sarreguemines · Carpet |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg ITF M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Tomas Rengel Sierra ITF M15 Cap D'Agde · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Michele Ribecai ITF M25 Muttenz · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Justin Lenders ITF M25 Muttenz · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/08 | Evangelos Kypriotis ITF M25 Muttenz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/08 | Maxime Gruenig ITF M25 Muttenz · Clay |
1-0 | 6-4 | W |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Pablo Pradat M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Axel Garcian M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Isaac Becroft Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Naoki Tajima M25 Kiseljak · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Bellegy vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 73% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.