Tennis · M15 Rochester · 16/07, 16:00
Prediction: Axel Nefve vs Nathan Cox
Prediction summary
Winner
Axel Nefve
Nathan Cox
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Axel Nefve
3-7 (W-L)
Nathan Cox
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Axel Nefve
0–1
Nathan Cox
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Axel Nefve 1417 · Nathan Cox 1487
| Axel Nefve | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nathan Cox (rating 1417 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Axel Nefve 0–1 Nathan Cox (1).
- Note: Axel Nefve makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Axel Nefve | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-13.7 | 11-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 68.5% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 43.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Axel Nefve 0 – 1 Nathan Cox (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Axel Nefve 0–1 Nathan Cox
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 ITF M25 Columbus | 1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Axel Nefve
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Jeffrey John Wolf M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/03 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Miyazaki · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 27/03 | Emile Hudd M15 Tsukuba · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/03 | Hunter Heck M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/03 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Nishi-Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 10/03 | Shinji Hazawa M15 Hinode · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/02 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Metepec · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Alan Sau Franco Challenger Metepec · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Nathan Cox
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Zac Hamill M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Aadarsh Tripathi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Liam Krall M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Noah Zamora M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Arnav Bhandari M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/06 | Justin Roberts M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 02/06 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Axel Nefve vs Nathan Cox?
Our model gives 54% to Nathan Cox, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.