Tennis · M15 Rochester · 15/07, 17:30
Prediction: Jonah Braswell vs Michael Antonius
Prediction summary
Winner
Jonah Braswell
Michael Antonius
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jonah Braswell
5-5 (W-L)
Michael Antonius
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jonah Braswell 1488 · Michael Antonius 1524
| Jonah Braswell | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jonah Braswell makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jonah Braswell | Michael Antonius | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.9 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jonah Braswell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Adrian Treacy M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | William Manning M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 07/07 | Nathan Cox M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/06 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Vladislav Melnic M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Matisse Farzam M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Sulaiman Syed M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/11 | Garrett Johns ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/11 | Oskar Grzegorzewski ITF M25 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Marko Miladinovic ITF M25 Edwardsville · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Michael Antonius
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05 | Andreja Petrovic M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Evan Bynoe M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/04 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Savannah · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 16/04 | Davide Tortora M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/04 | Ryan Cozad M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/03 | Aidan Mayo M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Ilya Snitari M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jonah Braswell vs Michael Antonius?
Our model gives 67% to Michael Antonius, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.