Tennis · M15 Rochester · 15/07, 21:00
Prediction: Benjamin Willwerth vs Reece Falck
Prediction summary
Winner
Benjamin Willwerth
Reece Falck
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Benjamin Willwerth
7-3 (W-L)
Reece Falck
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Benjamin Willwerth 1522 · Reece Falck 1454
| Benjamin Willwerth | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benjamin Willwerth (rating 1522 vs 1454).
Statistics
| Benjamin Willwerth | Reece Falck | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10 | 8.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 56% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benjamin Willwerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Izyan Ahmad M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Nicolas Arseneault M25 Laval |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Yi Zhou Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 06/06 | Jacob Bradshaw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 04/06 | Luke Hooper M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Kroslak M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/04 | Cannon Kingsley M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Reece Falck
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Alejandro Hayen M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Guajardo M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Vit Kalina M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Nathan Trouve M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Diogo Morais M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 23/05 | Blu Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/05 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benjamin Willwerth vs Reece Falck?
Our model gives 65% to Benjamin Willwerth, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.