Tennis · W35 Dallas · 15/07, 18:30
Prediction: Maria Kononova vs Elena Mireles
Prediction summary
Winner
Maria Kononova
Elena Mireles
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Maria Kononova
1-9 (W-L)
Elena Mireles
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maria Kononova 1433 · Elena Mireles 1541
| Maria Kononova | Elena Mireles | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elena Mireles (rating 1433 vs 1541).
- Elena Mireles is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Maria Kononova | Elena Mireles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-11.7 | 11.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 5.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 56.7% | 59.6% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Lea Ma W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Carolina Gomez W35 Decatur · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 02/06 | Martina Okalova W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Maya Iyengar W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 26/05 | Lillian Santos W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 18/05 | Claire Hill W50 Pelham · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Avery Nguyen W35 Charlotte |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jamilah Snells W35 Zephyrhills · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Elena Mireles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Ishika Ashar UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Brenda Yoris UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Gabrielle Villegas UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Isabella Basson UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/12 | Sophie Llewellyn UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/12 | Addison Yang Comiskey UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/12 | Caroline Mcginley UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/12 | Raegan Farm UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/12 | Silvia Martinez Jimenez UTR Pro Dallas Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maria Kononova vs Elena Mireles?
Our model gives 51% to Elena Mireles, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.