Tennis · W35 Dallas · 15/07, 20:00
Prediction: Kira Matushkina vs Alina Shcherbinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Kira Matushkina
Alina Shcherbinina
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kira Matushkina
5-5 (W-L)
Alina Shcherbinina
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kira Matushkina 1499 · Alina Shcherbinina 1622
| Kira Matushkina | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Shcherbinina (rating 1499 vs 1622).
- Alina Shcherbinina is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Alina Shcherbinina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kira Matushkina | Alina Shcherbinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.5 | 12.2-6.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kira Matushkina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Katherine Hui W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Rebecca Marino W50 Columbus |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Capucine Jauffret W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Amiya Bowles W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/05 | Lea Ma W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Amaliia Elizarova W35 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 13/05 | Eryn Cayetano W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Daniella Sales W35 Bethany Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/12 | Ruien Zhang ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 04/12 | Maya Iyengar ITF W35 Daytona Beach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Alina Shcherbinina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 10/07 | Alyssa Ahn W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Vesa Gjinaj W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Kingsley Wolf W15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/07 | Kate Fakih W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Salma Ewing W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/07 | Jo Yee Chan W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Kayla Chung W15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kira Matushkina vs Alina Shcherbinina?
Our model gives 73% to Alina Shcherbinina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

