Tennis · UTR Pro Knoxville Women · 15/07, 22:30
Prediction: Sobee Oak vs Lexie Weir
Prediction summary
Winner
Sobee Oak
Lexie Weir
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sobee Oak
6-4 (W-L)
Lexie Weir
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sobee Oak 1549 · Lexie Weir 1586
| Sobee Oak | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sobee Oak makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Sobee Oak | Lexie Weir | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 12.4-8.8 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 62.2% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 54.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sobee Oak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Maeve Thornton UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 12/06 | Jacqueline Soloveychik UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Gabriella Kellner UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Daniela Vidal Romero UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Anna Parkhomenko UTR Pro Boston Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/06 | Sophia Holod UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Aubrey Nisbet UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/06 | Nikoline Gullacksen UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Lexie Weir
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Catherine Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 09/07 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniela Borruel UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Esther Vyrlan UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Emily Deming UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexandra Wolf UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Elena Mireles UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sobee Oak vs Lexie Weir?
Our model gives 65% to Lexie Weir, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.