Tennis · WTA Athens · 16/07, 15:00
Prediction: Tereza Valentova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Tereza Valentova
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Tereza Valentova
6-4 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tereza Valentova 1480 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1497
| Tereza Valentova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 52.5% break avg.
- Note: Tereza Valentova makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Tereza Valentova | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 40% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.3 | 13-11.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 8.2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 54.5% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tereza Valentova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Karolina Pliskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Ajla Tomljanovic WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Hannah Klugman WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 15/06 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Magda Linette French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 07/05 | Coco Gauff WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/05 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Saint-Malo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Oceane Dodin French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/05 | Whitney Osuigwe French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Alina Charaeva WTA Paris · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tereza Valentova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 56% to Tereza Valentova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.