Tennis · WTA Athens · 16/07, 15:00
Prediction: Alina Korneeva vs Ann Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Korneeva
Ann Li
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Korneeva
5-5 (W-L)
Ann Li
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Korneeva 1536 · Ann Li 1496
| Alina Korneeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alina Korneeva (rating 1536 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Alina Korneeva | Ann Li | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.2 | 11.8-11.4 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 6.1 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 68.6% |
| Break % | 63.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Korneeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Aoi Ito WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Kimberly Birrell Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Fiona Crawley Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Alexandra Shubladze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/06 | Martyna Kubka WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Fangran Tian WTA Figueira da Foz · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/06 | Celine Naef WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Anna Kalinskaya French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/05 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Ann Li
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Zeynep Sonmez Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 19/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/05 | Diane Parry French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Shuai Zhang French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Emma Navarro WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Korneeva vs Ann Li?
Our model gives 55% to Alina Korneeva, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.