Tennis · WTA Athens · 16/07, 15:00

Prediction: Barbora Krejcikova vs Carole Monnet

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Barbora Krejcikova Carole Monnet
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Barbora Krejcikova 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWLWLW
Carole Monnet 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barbora Krejcikova 1577 · Carole Monnet 1498
Barbora KrejcikovaCarole Monnet
Our model61%39%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barbora Krejcikova (rating 1577 vs 1498).
  • Carole Monnet dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 45.4% break avg.
  • Barbora Krejcikova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Carole Monnet makes many double faults (6/match).

Statistics

Barbora KrejcikovaCarole Monnet
Win %80%50%
Win % · Grass 78% (9) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.51.1-1.3
Games (G-P)12.7-8.510-12
Aces4.76.5
Double faults3.86
1st serve %72.1%57.5%
Break %41.9%45.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barbora Krejcikova

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Viktoriya Tomova
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
05/07 Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 15-18 L
03/07 Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 13-8 W
01/07 Mirra Andreeva
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 17-15 W
29/06 Hannah Klugman
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Kimberly Birrell
WTA Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
13/06 Magda Linette
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Elena-Gabriela Ruse
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-3 W
11/06 Hanne Vandewinkel
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
09/06 Renata Zarazua
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-0 12-3 W

Carole Monnet

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Athens · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
23/06 Tatiana Prozorova
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
18/06 Xiyu Wang
WTA Brescia · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Martina Trevisan
WTA Brescia · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
07/06 Donna Vekic
WTA Queens · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
05/06 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Foggia · Clay
1-2 9-13 L
04/06 Tatiana Prozorova
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-1 13-13 W
02/06 Alice Tubello
WTA Foggia · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Maja Chwalinska
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 1-12 L
18/05 Polina Iatcenko
French Open Women · Clay
2-1 17-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barbora Krejcikova vs Carole Monnet?

Our model gives 76% to Barbora Krejcikova, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.