Tennis · W50 Darmstadt · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Mathilde Lollia vs Anouck Vrancken Peeters
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathilde Lollia
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Mathilde Lollia
6-4 (W-L)
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathilde Lollia 1482 · Anouck Vrancken Peeters 1517
| Mathilde Lollia | Anouck Vrancken Peeters | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathilde Lollia makes many double faults (7.1/match).
- Note: Anouck Vrancken Peeters makes many double faults (8.4/match).
Statistics
| Mathilde Lollia | Anouck Vrancken Peeters | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 11.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 7.1 | 8.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathilde Lollia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Laetitia Pulchartova W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Christina Bednarczyk W50 Darmstadt |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Julia Riera W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Marine Szostak W35 Nice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/05 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Francesca Dell'edera W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 12/05 | Anna Kmiecik W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/04 | Jenny Lim W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/04 | Darya Astakhova W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
Anouck Vrancken Peeters
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 16-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 05/07 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Antonia Stoyanov W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/07 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Blois · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Anouk Koevermans WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 19/05 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathilde Lollia vs Anouck Vrancken Peeters?
Our model gives 63% to Anouck Vrancken Peeters, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.