Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 15/07, 15:00

Prediction: Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Luis Jose Nakamine

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Luis Jose Nakamine
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWLWWWLW
Luis Jose Nakamine 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo 1538 · Luis Jose Nakamine 1554
Joaquin Aguillar CardozoLuis Jose Nakamine
Our model48%52%
Market90%10%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joaquin Aguillar CardozoLuis Jose Nakamine
Win %70%70%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.71.5-0.7
Games (G-P)11.4-8.211.3-8.7
Aces0.60.5
Double faults1.92.2
1st serve %60.7%67%
Break %60.9%39.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-7 W
11/07 Juan Estevez
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 10-13 L
10/07 Bastian Malla
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 13-7 W
08/07 Nicolas Garcia Longo
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Thiago Horacio Messa
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 12-0 W
26/06 Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
26/06 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
25/06 Juan Estevez
Challenger Piracicaba · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
17/06 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
17/06 Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 18-12 W

Luis Jose Nakamine

LWLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Ian Vertberger
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 18-14 W
13/07 Bautista De La Pena
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-6 W
07/07 Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 3-12 L
06/07 Agustin Libre
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
2-0 13-7 W
18/12 Bautista Vilicich
ITF M15 Lima · Clay
1-2 14-13 L
17/12 Bautista De La Pena
ITF M15 Lima · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
03/12 Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
ITF M15 Lima · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
24/08 Tyler Stewart
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
23/08 Zachary Cohen
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
22/08 David Duong
UTR Pro Waco · Hard
2-0 12-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo vs Luis Jose Nakamine?

Our model gives 71% to Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.